Texas Senate Predictions & Odds· 186 markets

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Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

63%

Democratic Party

$5.3m Vol.
$864k Liq.
🔥$52k today
152
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.5m Vol.
$989k Liq.
🔥$113k today
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

61%

James Talarico (D)

$1.5m Vol.
$397k Liq.
128
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$9k Vol.
$112k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

55%

Ken Paxton (R)

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

90%

James Talarico (D)

$3k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

50%

Other

$9k Vol.
$57k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

25%

9.6M-10M

$6k Vol.
$88k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
T
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

68%

James Talarico (D)

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

88%

James Talarico (D)

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

56%

Dems sweep

$4k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

94%

Republican Party

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$75k Vol.
$330k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

22%

Texas

$10k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

17%

Texas

$51k Vol.
$183k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

41%

Michigan

$6k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

99%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$11k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Paxton 25–30%

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended