Texas Senate Predictions & Odds· 186 markets

W
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

67%

Democratic Party

$5.0m Vol.
$959k Liq.
150
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

93%

Democratic Party

$12.2m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$66k today
1
Ends in 3 months
T
Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

63%

James Talarico (D)

$1.5m Vol.
$265k Liq.
124
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

58%

Ken Paxton (R)

$744 Vol.
$143 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$7k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

89%

James Talarico (D)

$5k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Turnout

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

32%

10M-10.4M

$5k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
T
Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

88%

James Talarico (D)

$2k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

68%

James Talarico (D)

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

94%

Republican Party

$2k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

76%

Texas

$72k Vol.
$188k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

25%

Texas

$9k Vol.
$191k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

16%

Iowa

$50k Vol.
$200k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

41%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff

1.2–1.5M

$169k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
T
Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff Margin of Victory (Larger Brackets)

Paxton 25–30%

$146k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended