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AllSportsPoliticsFinanceElectionsSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIAnthropicLlmJobsTechGlobal ElectionsGermanyGeopoliticsEconomyGamesParlaysChatgptMetaRecurringWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsMathClaudeMecklenburg VorpommernTable TennisGerman ElectionsMain ElectionDebutComputePrivatesMark ZuckerbergLlamaOpenAI IPOLaborJOLTSJob OpeningsAnthropic IPO20 (50) DailyInternational Election PropsSãO ToméSãO Tomé And PríNcipeAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksSetkaSetka Cup Ukraine MenFrontierMathAfDAstraGPT SolGPT TerraGPT LunaWatermelonGPT Releases
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Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

35%

November 30

$27k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

MLSTP

$20k Vol.
$71k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
S
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Politics·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

93%

ADI

$12k Vol.
$70k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Politics·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

97%

32-35

$73k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

World·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

0%

Over

$135k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$83k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

Politics·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

98%

26-29

$87k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

World·20 (50) daily

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Tech·AI

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$57k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Tiutiunnyk Maksym vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

Sports · Games

Tiutiunnyk Maksym vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

50%

Tiutiunnyk Maksym

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

94%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

World·AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

77%

1450+

$21k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

66%

1430+

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

24%

7.4M to 7.5M

$17k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
A
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Tech·AI

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

70%

October 31

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
G
GPT-7 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

Finance·AI

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

62%

$900B-$1.00T

$32k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

Tech·AI

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

75%

↑ $50

$55 Vol.
$224 Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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