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AllSportsPoliticsFinanceElectionsSam AltmanAIGptOpenAIAnthropicLlmJobsTechGlobal ElectionsGermanyGeopoliticsEconomyGamesParlaysChatgptMetaRecurringWorldBig TechMacro IndicatorsMathClaudeMecklenburg VorpommernTable TennisGerman ElectionsMain ElectionDebutPrivatesMark ZuckerbergLlamaOpenAI IPOLaborJOLTSJob OpeningsAnthropic IPO20 (50) DailyInternational Election PropsSãO ToméSãO Tomé And PríNcipeAI ReleasesAI BenchmarksSetkaSetka Cup Ukraine MenFrontierMathAfDAstraGPT SolGPT TerraGPT LunaWatermelonGPT Releases
N
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

Tech·AI

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

30%

October 31

$27k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

Politics·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner

92%

MLSTP

$17k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
S
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Politics·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

88%

ADI

$11k Vol.
$68k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Politics·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

99%

32-35

$73k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ended
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

World·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%?

0%

Over

$135k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ended
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

9%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Finance·Privates

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

91%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

Politics·Germany

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Elections: SPD # of seats?

99%

26-29

$87k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

World·20 (50) daily

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$796k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

Tech·AI

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

89%

November 30

$52k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

World·AfD

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
G
GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

95%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

Economy·jobs

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.1M to 7.2M

$11k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
T
Tiutiunnyk Maksym vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

Sports · Games

Tiutiunnyk Maksym vs. Holoborodko Evhenii

50%

Tiutiunnyk Maksym

$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
N
Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

73%

1430+

$10k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

Tech·AI

Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?

77%

1450+

$19k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

Tech·AI

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

61%

October 31

$572 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kushnirenko Serhii vs. Komar Vadym

Sports · Games

Kushnirenko Serhii vs. Komar Vadym

50%

Kushnirenko Serhii

$0 Vol.
$26 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
G
GPT-7 released by...?

Tech·AI

GPT-7 released by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$14k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
O
OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

Finance·AI

OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

71%

$900B-$1.00T

$30k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days

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