Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$271k Liq.
🔥$62k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$112k Vol.
$125k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$298 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

98%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7k Vol.
$246k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

87%

39%+

$79k Vol.
$182k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

5%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$16k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$574k Vol.
$649k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$223 Liq.
Ends in 4 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

46%

78-80%

$40 Vol.
$277 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Augusto Cury Vote Share?

41%

4-6%

$13k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$315k Vol.
$204k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$126k Vol.
$196k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

14%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$167 Liq.
Ended
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

62%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

44%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal

Tennis · Sports

St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal

55%

Titouan Droguet

$123 Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$29k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

55%

44%+

$12k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

54%

Lula da Silva <5%

$601k Vol.
$599k Liq.
17
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Renan Santos Vote Share?

37%

2-4%

$97k Vol.
$157k Liq.
Ends in 11 days