Taoiseach Predictions & Odds· 100 markets

W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$251k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$113k Vol.
$152k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$299 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

97%

Flavio Bolsonaro

$7k Vol.
$242k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Flávio Bolsonaro Vote Share?

87%

39%+

$86k Vol.
$161k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
V
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?

5%

Yes

$44k Vol.
$14k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$577k Vol.
$628k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

60%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$166 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

57%

78-80%

$60 Vol.
$435 Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
São Paulo Governor Election Winner

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

99%

Tarcísio de Freitas

$315k Vol.
$198k Liq.
13
Ends in 9 months
S
Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

98%

Jorginho Mello

$126k Vol.
$187k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
W
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

14%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$165 Liq.
Ended
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

34%

100-119

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

49%

80-99

$385 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
F
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?

60%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

43%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$145 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal

Tennis · Sports

St. Tropez: Titouan Droguet vs Mark Lajal

56%

Titouan Droguet

$176 Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$28k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Lula Vote Share?

54%

44%+

$12k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

55%

Lula da Silva <5%

$603k Vol.
$541k Liq.
17
Ends in 11 days