Steven Keough Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

28%

NATO

$8k Vol.
$786 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

56%

Scam

$4k Vol.
$206 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

62%

Google

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

79%

OpenAI

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

92%

OpenAI

$31k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

76%

Google

$44k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

62%

MiniMax

$16k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

83%

Anthropic

$24k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

87%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

69%

Anthropic

$34k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?

97%

Google

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$797k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%

Anthropic

$83k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T

Colin Allred

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?

No

$41k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Michigan on March 18?

Biden 6+ times

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
W
What will Trump post this week? (March 16 - March 22)

Donald Trump

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
#
#1 Searched News on Google this year?

Charlie Kirk assassination

$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
16
Ended
W
What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

Mentions · Politics

What will JD Vance say during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?

America / American 45+ times

$133k Vol.
$0 Liq.
82
Ended
W
What will the announcers say during Scotland vs Brazil World Cup Match?

Goal 40+ times

$59k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended