Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 141 markets

W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

0%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$218k Vol.
$53k Liq.
7
Ended
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

84%

PL

$303k Vol.
$282k Liq.
10
Ends in 11 days
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

99%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$40k Vol.
$108k Liq.
2
Ended
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

97%

New People (NL)

$22k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ended
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

93%

PL

$56k Vol.
$232k Liq.
3
Ends in 11 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

65%

PL

$119k Vol.
$340k Liq.
7
Ends in 11 days
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
O
Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

63%

Sherrod Brown (D)

$718k Vol.
$187k Liq.
15
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election Winner

92%

Ashley Moody (R)

$127k Vol.
$80k Liq.
8
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$697k Vol.
$72k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

91%

Angie Nixon (D)

$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
F
Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

63%

Ashley Moody (R)

$4k Vol.
$182 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

30%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
H
How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

35%

4+

$269 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

89%

Kuomintang (KMT)

$184k Vol.
$126k Liq.
41
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

100%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ended
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

53%

Yes

$45k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Wisconsin disenfranchise any voter for betting on elections before election day?

4%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month