Social Policy Predictions & Odds· 126 markets

D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

99%

80-99

$31k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ended
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

22%

140-159

$10k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

40%

80-99

$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
D
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

19%

140-159

$2k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

12%

Yes

$79k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
S
Social Security Insolvent by...?

Social Security Insolvent by...?

17%

December 31, 2028

$929 Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
C
Canada passes under-16 social media ban in 2026?

24%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$82 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Courts block Trump's $100,000 Truth Social early access plan by October 31?

8%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will be in next Swedish Government?

85%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$141k Vol.
$108k Liq.
5
Ends in 4 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

50%

Film D

$236k Vol.
$245k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
O
Oscars 2027: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

50%

Movie A

$14k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Which parties will win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?

1%

Russian Party of Pensioners for Social Justice

$210k Vol.
$41k Liq.
7
Ended
O
Oscars 2027: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

50%

Movie A

$28k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

94%

New People (NL)

$22k Vol.
$86k Liq.
Ended
O
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

100%

The Odyssey

$33k Vol.
$23k Liq.
4
Ends in 6 months
N
Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

82%

PL

$56k Vol.
$203k Liq.
3
Ends in 12 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

93%

President Xi

$3k Vol.
$370 Liq.
Ends in 5 days
B
Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

69%

PL

$118k Vol.
$335k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

99%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$40k Vol.
$110k Liq.
2
Ended