Resignations Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$149k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
Q
Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: PVQ Wins a Seat?

3%

Yes

$843 Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

4%

October 31

$10k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority?

34%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
N
Nigerian House of Representatives Election Winner

76%

APC

$6k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
Nigerian Senate Election Winner

Nigerian Senate Election Winner

75%

APC

$6k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

31%

7.1M to 7.2M

$12k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PLQ # Seats?

35%

28-31

$26k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
Q
Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: CAQ # Seats?

24%

20-24

$22k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PQ # Seats?

33%

50-54

$17k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
Q
Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

Quebec General Election: PCQ # Seats?

23%

8-10

$8k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
Q
Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

Quebec General Election: QS Wins a Seat?

98%

Yes

$673 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

$25k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

Yes

$124.4m Vol.
$64k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

52%

None before 2027

$73k Vol.
$262k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$541k Vol.
$48k Liq.
29
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

15%

Dong Jun

$222k Vol.
$101k Liq.
19
Ends in 3 months
F
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

10%

December 31, 2026

$17k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by October 31?

6%

Yes

$247 Vol.
$589 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month