Resignation Predictions & Odds· 256 markets

W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

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1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

6%

October 31

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W
Will Trump resign before 2027?

Will Trump resign before 2027?

3%

Yes

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Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

3%

Yes

$539k Vol.
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29
Ends in 3 months
N
Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

51%

Yes

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29
Ends in 3 months
A
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...?

6%

Yes

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1
Ends in 3 months
M
Marine Le Pen out as Member of the National Assembly by...?

2%

Yes

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Ends in about 1 month
L
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?

4%

December 31

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Ends in 3 months
M
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?

28%

Yes

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N
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?

13%

Yes

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H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

34%

35-40%

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Ends in 18 days
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

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Ends in 18 days
M
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

12%

December 31, 2026

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3
Ends in 7 months
C
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026?

7%

Yes

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5
Ends in 3 months
J
Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

3%

Yes

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1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

3%

Yes

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43
Ends in 3 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

31%

40-45%

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W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

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J
Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

30%

Yes

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1
Ends in 3 months
J
Jessica Tisch out as New York City Police Commissioner by...?

32%

December 31

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Ends in 3 months