Republican Nomination Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$52.0m Liq.
🔥$895k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$880k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$130 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
R
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner

96%

Jack Reed (D)

$26k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

54%

J.D. Vance

$20k Vol.
$152k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

51%

Iowa

$669 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

61%

Ashley Hinson (R)

$407k Vol.
$167k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$10k Vol.
$84k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1282.7m Vol.
$75.5m Liq.
🔥$2.1m today
824
Ends in about 2 years
N
Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

68%

Pete Ricketts (R)

$290k Vol.
$190k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

35%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$76k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

96%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
K
Kansas Senate Election Winner

Kansas Senate Election Winner

74%

Roger Marshall (R)

$113k Vol.
$133k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
C
Colorado Senate Election Winner

Colorado Senate Election Winner

96%

John Hickenlooper (D)

$48k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
M
Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

93%

Peggy Flanagan (D)

$91k Vol.
$53k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

24%

Below 190

$303k Vol.
$198k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month