Republican Nomination Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.6m Vol.
$52.0m Liq.
🔥$898k today
438
Ends in about 2 years
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$872k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will the 2028 Republican Presidential nominee be a woman?

2%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$60k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

39%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$95 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
R
Rhode Island Senate Election Winner

96%

Jack Reed (D)

$26k Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will Trump endorse first in the 2028 US presidential election?

52%

J.D. Vance

$20k Vol.
$167k Liq.
1
Ends in about 2 years
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

51%

Iowa

$669 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?

72%

Yes

$331 Vol.
$282 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
I
Iowa Senate Election Winner

Iowa Senate Election Winner

61%

Ashley Hinson (R)

$407k Vol.
$177k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$10k Vol.
$75k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1282.7m Vol.
$75.5m Liq.
🔥$1.9m today
824
Ends in about 2 years
N
Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

68%

Pete Ricketts (R)

$290k Vol.
$204k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

31%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$67k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

97%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
K
Kansas Senate Election Winner

Kansas Senate Election Winner

74%

Roger Marshall (R)

$113k Vol.
$132k Liq.
7
Ends in about 1 month
C
Colorado Senate Election Winner

Colorado Senate Election Winner

96%

John Hickenlooper (D)

$48k Vol.
$39k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Trump's first pick win the 2028 US presidential election?

25%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in over 2 years
W
Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

30%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 years