Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

88%

Increase

$7k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

80%

25 bps increase

$23k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 14 days
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

43%

No change

$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$447k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

57%

25 bps increase

$12k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

72%

No change

$51k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

61%

25 bps increase

$68k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

65%

25 bps increase

$116k Vol.
$66k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

68%

No change

$180k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

59%

25 bps increase

$16k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

84%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$523k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

67%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

79%

No change

$64k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in October?

Bank of Russia decision in October?

71%

No Change

$40k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

63%

2 (50 bps)

$606k Vol.
$273k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

86%

Yes

$133k Vol.
$246k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

54%

25 bps increase

$10.4m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$1.0m today
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

54%

No Change

$105k Vol.
$64k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

62%

25 bps increase

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months