Repo Rate Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

75%

25 bps increase

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
S
South African Reserve Bank Decision in September?

89%

Increase

$6k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
P
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?

99%

No Change

$55k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Bank of Russia decision in December?

41%

No change

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

53%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$154k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

59%

25 bps increase

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

73%

No change

$51k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

54%

25 bps increase

$58k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Bank of England decision in November?

62%

25 bps increase

$111k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

59%

No change

$176k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

61%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

82%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$146k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$10k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

62%

No change

$58k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in October?

Bank of Russia decision in October?

73%

No Change

$38k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

87%

Yes

$96k Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

Fed · Rate

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

60%

2 (50 bps)

$584k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$9.2m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$927k today
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

53%

No Change

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Japan Decision in December?

Bank of Japan Decision in December?

71%

25 bps increase

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months