Reform Uk Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

N
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by...?

28%

March 31, 2027

$278k Vol.
$21k Liq.
24
Ends in 6 months
U
UK election called by...?

UK · pedophile

UK election called by...?

27%

June 30, 2027

$826k Vol.
$3k Liq.
14
Ends in 9 months
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

35%

35-40%

$4k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
S
September Inflation UK - Annual

UK · CPI

September Inflation UK - Annual

59%

3.4-3.6%

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Labour Vote Share?

29%

35-40%

$5k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
What will Andy Burnham say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

99%

-No Qualifying Event-

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in the UK Budget?

What will be in the UK Budget?

64%

CGT increase

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down?

100%

Up

$1k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
H
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory

50%

Another candidate wins

$3k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$983k Vol.
$286k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

72%

6

$32k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK social media ban in effect by…?

UK social media ban in effect by…?

40%

June 30, 2027

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

46%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$819 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$93k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
N
Next UK by-election called by…?

Next UK by-election called by…?

39%

December 31

$129 Vol.
$407 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

40%

0.4–0.5%

$22k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
W
Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

Who will be the first to leave the Burnham Cabinet?

50%

Other

$111k Vol.
$178k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
U
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

U.K. Annual Inflation 2026

44%

3.5–3.9%

$121k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
R
Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?

99%

Yes

$71k Vol.
$28k Liq.
8
Ended