Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

M
Maryland passes redistricting requirements ballot measure?

71%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$47 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
M
Missouri passes ballot measure to redistrict?

36%

Yes

$95 Vol.
$171 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

3%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
22
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

99%

Florida

$414k Vol.
$194k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

33%

22–23

$696k Vol.
$74k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

Yes

$178k Vol.
$24k Liq.
10
Ends in 4 months
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

64%

Democrats Sweep

$13.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$343k today
296
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$15k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$12k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
G
GOP's worst Great Plains Senate Race (IA, NE, KS)?

59%

Iowa

$849 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

52%

Yes

$40k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

Below 190

$308k Vol.
$248k Liq.
5
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

67%

Democratic Party

$6k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
D
Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

38%

Michigan

$5k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

26%

115-120m

$31k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

19%

≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

$949k Vol.
$142k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

79%

Democrats

$3k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
C
Closest Senate Race?

Closest Senate Race?

14%

Texas

$46k Vol.
$194k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

CA-12 House Election Winner (Individual)

95%

Lateefah Simon

$3k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month