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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 183 markets

AllPoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFederal ReserveEconomy1Interest RatesFedSouth KoreaEconomicsChinaUKUS PoliticsUnited KingdomEuFed RatesTaxesGeopoliticsEconomyEuropeFOMCTrump PresidencyParlaysJerome PowellRecurringEconomic PolicyPBCWorldBOEJobs ReportBOKGlobal RatesPbocReverse Repo RateKevin WarshFiscalCPI Release
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$238k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed

Fed rate cut by...?

49%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$184k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.3m Vol.
$4.3m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

40%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$122k Vol.
$229k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in October?

70%

No Change

$27k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 28 days
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

48%

25 bps hike

$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Politics·Taxes

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

12%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$146 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: September

Geopolitics·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: September

98%

Nothing

$7k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

Politics·Fiscal

Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?

16%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

Economy·Taxes

Federal capital gains taxes be cut by 2026?

13%

Yes

$345 Vol.
$342 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

Economy·Global Rates

People's Bank of China rate cut by March 31?

No

$120k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

October meeting

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
9
Ended
E
ECB rate cut in 2025?

Economy·Fed Rates

ECB rate cut in 2025?

No

$327k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
B
Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Economy·UK

Bank of England rate cut in 2025?

Yes

$86k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September 18

$31.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
267
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

Economy·Business

Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?

No

$836k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by June meeting?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by June meeting?

No

$344k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
F
Fed emergency rate cut in August?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed emergency rate cut in August?

No

$432k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Economy·Fed Rates

Fed rate cut by...?

September meeting

$1.6m Vol.
$0 Liq.
13
Ended

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