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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

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F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

50%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$91k Liq.
31
Ends in over 1 year
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.2m Vol.
$3.6m Liq.
🔥$59k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

38%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$102k Vol.
$76k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

62%

No change

$58k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Economy·macro

Bank of Russia decision in December?

42%

No change

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

73%

No change

$10k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

68%

No change

$179k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

World·RBNZ

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

59%

25 bps increase

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

80%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$156k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Economy·BOE

Bank of England decision in November?

65%

25 bps increase

$114k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

61%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in October?

59%

No Change

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

46%

No Change

$27k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Economy·Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

53%

No Change

$4k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Politics·Taxes

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

13%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$149 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

53%

25 bps increase

$10.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$1.1m today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.2m Vol.
$607k Liq.
🔥$88k today
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Economy·BOI

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

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