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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 109 markets

AllPoliticsRussiaBusinessFinanceTrumpInterest RatesMonetary PolicyFedSouth KoreaIsraelEuBrazilFed RatesTaxesEnglandEconomyEuropeECBFOMCBank Of EnglandEuroColombiaParlaysJerome PowellEuropean Central BankRecurringEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsBOEEurozoneMacroRBNZNew ZealandBOIBOKGlobal RatesInterest RateKevin WarshFiscalCPI Release
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

50%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$95k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

2%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$3.7m Liq.
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

35%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$94k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

56%

No change

$55k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Economy·macro

Bank of Russia decision in December?

36%

25 bps decrease

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

72%

No change

$10k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

56%

No change

$173k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

World·RBNZ

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

53%

No change

$11k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

81%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$145k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Economy·BOE

Bank of England decision in November?

68%

25 bps increase

$104k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

61%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in October?

50%

No Change

$22k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

53%

No Change

$25k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Economy·Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

53%

No Change

$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

Politics·Taxes

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

9%

Yes

$17k Vol.
$228 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed Decision in October?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in October?

50%

25 bps increase

$8.7m Vol.
$1.7m Liq.
🔥$867k today
Ends in about 1 month
F
Fed Decision in December?

Economy·Fed

Fed Decision in December?

68%

25 bps increase

$1.1m Vol.
$550k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Israel Decision in October?

Economy·BOI

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

78%

No Change

$28k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 29 days

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