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Rate Cut Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

AllPoliticsRussiaBusinessFinanceInterest RatesMonetary PolicyFedSouth KoreaCanadaEuBrazilFed RatesEnglandEconomyEuropeECBFOMCBank Of EnglandEuroColombiaParlaysJerome PowellEuropean Central BankRecurringEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsBOEEurozoneMacroRBAAusRBNZNew ZealandRBIBOKGlobal RatesKevin WarshCPI Release
F
Fed rate cut by...?

Finance·Jerome Powell

Fed rate cut by...?

45%

July 2027 Meeting

$3.7m Vol.
$153k Liq.
31
Ends in 4 months
F
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Finance·Business

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

3%

Yes

$231k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
E
ECB rate cut in 2026?

Economy·Global Rates

ECB rate cut in 2026?

5%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$6k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Economy·Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

96%

0 (0 bps)

$53.1m Vol.
$4.2m Liq.
🔥$79k today
121
Ends in 3 months
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

33%

Hike–Hike–Hike

$90k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
R
Reserve Bank of India decision in October

Economy·RBI

Reserve Bank of India decision in October

72%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
B
Bank of Canada Decision in October?

Economy·Canada

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

63%

No Change

$90k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in September

53%

No change

$55k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
B
Bank of Russia decision in December?

Economy·macro

Bank of Russia decision in December?

36%

25 bps decrease

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
C
Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

Economy·Colombia

Central Bank of Colombia decision in October

77%

No change

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

World·Aus

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

73%

No change

$49k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

55%

No change

$164k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

World·RBNZ

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in October?

51%

No change

$52k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

World·RBNZ

Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?

70%

25 bps increase

$9k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Economy·Jerome Powell

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

77%

↑ 4.25%

$1.8m Vol.
$237k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of England decision in November?

Economy·BOE

Bank of England decision in November?

71%

25 bps increase

$100k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in October?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in October?

79%

No Change

$12k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
E
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

Economy·ECB

ECB Interest Rates: December 2026

60%

25 bps increase

$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

51%

25 bps hike

$23k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in December?

Economy·Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

63%

No Change

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

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