Q4 Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

B
Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

67%

Grüne

$35k Vol.
$59k Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
A
Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

99%

$170 billion

$23k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
G
GA-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
C
China Annual GDP Growth 2026

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

90%

4.0–5.0%

$908k Vol.
$88k Liq.
17
Ends in 4 months
P
Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Cornea/Neuchrist vs Hemery/Mansouri

Tennis · Sports

Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Cornea/Neuchrist vs Hemery/Mansouri

63%

Cornea/Neuchrist

$0 Vol.
$390 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
T
TX-04 House Election Winner

TX-04 House Election Winner

95%

Pat Fallon (R)

$40k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$5k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Plovdiv 4: Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov

Tennis · Sports

Plovdiv 4: Carlos Taberner vs Petr Nesterov

61%

Carlos Taberner

$258 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US recession by end of 2027?

US recession by end of 2027?

35%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
G
GA-04 House Election Winner

GA-04 House Election Winner

96%

Hank Johnson (D)

$48k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
R
Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 4th Place

79%

New People (NL)

$19k Vol.
$67k Liq.
1
Ends in about 6 hours
U
UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

40%

0.4–0.5%

$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
E
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

66%

0-1.0%

$51k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
N
NJ-04 House Election Winner

NJ-04 House Election Winner

96%

Chris Smith (R)

$19k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
P
Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Genov/Wehnelt vs Diez/Pereira

Tennis · Sports

Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Genov/Wehnelt vs Diez/Pereira

50%

Genov/Wehnelt

$0 Vol.
$378 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

WA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$0 Vol.
$633 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
U
UK Recession in 2026?

UK Recession in 2026?

4%

Yes

$13k Vol.
$4k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
U
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

89%

1-2%

$92k Vol.
$10k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
P
Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Karol/Paulson vs Compagnucci/Johansson

Tennis · Sports

Plovdiv 4 (Doubles): Karol/Paulson vs Compagnucci/Johansson

68%

Karol/Paulson

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Spotify reach 1 billion total users in 2026?

4%

Yes

$225 Vol.
$301 Liq.
Ends in 5 months