Proposition Predictions & Odds· 142 markets

C
California Recall Election Reform Proposition

45%

Yes

$373 Vol.
$821 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

47%

Yes

$754 Vol.
$917 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Clinic Funding Proposition

25%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

45%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Immunology Research Bond Proposition

62%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Rainy Day Fund Proposition

68%

Yes

$834 Vol.
$131 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

58%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$863 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition

74%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition

44%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

76%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

53%

Yes

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

55%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
C
California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

35%

Yes

$468 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 10 months
I
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

59%

Yes

$9k Vol.
$818 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

51%

Yes

$270 Vol.
$546 Liq.
Ends in 6 months
A
Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

80%

Yes

$453 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

30%

Yes

$3.8m Vol.
$66k Liq.
28
Ended
L
Largest Democratic Margin of Victory

California Proposition 50

$84k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ended
C
California Prop 50 winning margin?

28–29%

$536k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended