Primaries Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will Trump's first endorsement before the primaries be the 2028 GOP nominee?

40%

Yes

$89 Vol.
$93 Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round Winner

87%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$5k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
W
Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

34%

Yes

$645 Vol.
$190 Liq.
2
Ends in 21 days
F
French Socialist Primary: First Round 2nd Place

69%

Olivier Faure

$5k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
F
France United Left Primary Winner

France United Left Primary Winner

92%

Canceled

$228k Vol.
$82k Liq.
31
Ends in 21 days
M
Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%

Yes

$988 Vol.
$318 Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
L
LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

3%

Misti Cordell

$64k Vol.
$58k Liq.
1
Ended
S
Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

Socialist Party of France Presidential Nominee

75%

Raphael Glucksmann

$51k Vol.
$112k Liq.
12
Ends in about 1 month
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$13k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
R
Republican VP Nominee 2028

Republican VP Nominee 2028

30%

Marco Rubio

$47k Vol.
$795k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

98%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

14%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$901k Vol.
$264k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

26%

22–23

$695k Vol.
$72k Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
N
New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary: Margin of Victory

98%

Pappas 30–35%

$6k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ended
W
Which party will win young men in the midterms?

78%

Democrats

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$308 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

41%

7-8%

$351 Vol.
$177 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

33%

Yes

$576 Vol.
$336 Liq.
Ends in 6 months