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November Predictions & Odds· 1492 markets

AllPoliticsIranElectionsSouth KoreaStrait Of HormuzChinaOilAIReferendumPopular VoteSwitzerlandTechBrazilGeopoliticsEconomyRecurringWorldMacro IndicatorsMathRBAAusBOKGlobal RatesReferendaHormuzCodingMoonshotAI AgentAI RankingsText To ImageWebDevVideo AIText To Video
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Korea decision in November?

World·BOK

Bank of Korea decision in November?

50%

25 bps hike

$23k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

Politics·Oil

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

12%

Yes

$380k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

73%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
R
Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

World·Aus

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

72%

No change

$49k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

Politics·Referenda

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

71%

VAT federal decree

$9k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

Tech·AI

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

81%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
B
Bank of Brazil decision in November?

Economy·Brazil

Bank of Brazil decision in November?

63%

25 bps decrease

$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

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