Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$69.3m Vol.
$1.0m Liq.
🔥$348k today
1,696
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

2%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026?

36%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$50 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?

44%

Yes

$510 Vol.
$38 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

32%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

23%

7.2M to 7.3M

$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

40%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$404 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

84%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$208 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

68%

Yes

$889 Vol.
$153 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

56%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$743 Liq.
Ended
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$392 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

77%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$91k Vol.
$8k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
D
DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%

Yes

$195 Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$444 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$10k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
2
2nd largest private company end of September?

94%

OpenAI

$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$11k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

Stripe

$828 Vol.
$235 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?

87%

Yes

$2k Vol.
$348 Liq.
Ends in 6 days