Nonfarm Payroll Predictions & Odds· 105 markets

W
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

4%

December 31

$70.2m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$875k today
1,704
Ends in 3 months
V
Virginia Fonseca and Vinícius Júnior confirm breakup in 2026?

24%

Yes

$752 Vol.
$222 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
C
Clavicular and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez confirm relationship in 2026?

2%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$3k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
A
Alix Earle and Lando Norris confirm relationship in 2026?

35%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$48 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lindsay Hubbard and Matt James confirm relationship in 2026?

44%

Yes

$510 Vol.
$38 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

36%

50k to 100k

$11k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

31%

7.1M to 7.2M

$11k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?

58%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$61 Liq.
Ends in about 3 hours
W
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?

80%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$94 Liq.
Ended
W
Will Conagra (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?

65%

Yes

$889 Vol.
$327 Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?

56%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$360 Liq.
Ended
W
Will FactSet (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?

66%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$511 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$10k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
3
3rd largest private company end of September?

97%

ByteDance

$10k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

40%

4.1%

$20k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
2
2nd largest private company end of September?

94%

OpenAI

$7k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$11k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
S
Stripe vs American Express - higher valuation on December 31?

14%

Stripe

$835 Vol.
$247 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

2%

Yes

$16k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 days