Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

15%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m Vol.
$1.9m Liq.
212
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$234k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

60%

December 31, 2027

$70k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

47%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$84k Vol.
$527k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

China

$2k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

100%

Trump

$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

50%

Vance

$5k Vol.
$254 Liq.
Ends in about 6 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$299 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$917k Vol.
$84k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

31%

December 31, 2028

$22k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in over 2 years
L
Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

37%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$240 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

$346k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

10%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$335k Vol.
$98k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$802k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

23%

October 31

$58k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Ethena hit in September?

50%

↓ 0.16

$10k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

81%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$531 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year