Nobel Peace Prize Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

16%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$25.0m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
213
Ends in 6 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

$1.1m Vol.
$273k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

62%

December 31, 2027

$70k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

47%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

28%

Zohran Mamdani

$80k Vol.
$528k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 28 - October 4)

87%

China

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 28 - October 4)

100%

Trump

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

51%

Putin

$5k Vol.
$184 Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$298 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

70%

December 31

$916k Vol.
$101k Liq.
59
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$576k Vol.
$5k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

41%

80-99

$753 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
L
Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

41%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$221 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

66%

80-99

$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

76%

December 31, 2027

$343k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
U
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

11%

Yes

$39k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

70%

December 31, 2027

$332k Vol.
$155k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
S
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

24%

October 31

$58k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

83%

Yes

$801k Vol.
$48k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

80%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$519 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year