News Predictions & Odds· 264 markets

T
Trump bans more news outlets from White House by September 30?

3%

Yes

$20k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival?

53%

Melania

$42k Vol.
$162k Liq.
3
Ends in about 20 hours
W
What will Trump say during his United Nations meetings?

96%

Hormuz

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ended
G
Gavin Newsom or his wife federally charged by December 31, 2026?

14%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$8k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

12%

Yes

$94k Vol.
$11k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
D
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

18%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$1283.9m Vol.
$76.5m Liq.
🔥$316k today
834
Ends in about 2 years
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.8m Vol.
$60.1m Liq.
🔥$308k today
1,037
Ends in over 2 years
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

37%

None before 2027

$572k Vol.
$632k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be arrested before 2027?

Who will be arrested before 2027?

20%

John Brennan

$452k Vol.
$446k Liq.
13
Ends in 3 months
S
South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

50%

Candidate A

$18k Vol.
$124k Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
D
Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

14%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$710k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

87%

Andy Beshear

$88k Vol.
$348k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
#
#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

50%

Person 3

$180k Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
7
Ends in 6 months
D
Democratic VP Nominee 2028

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

10%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$100k Vol.
$1.4m Liq.
Ends in almost 2 years
W
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?

50%

Other

$12k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

13%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$296 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

37%

December 31, 2027

$575k Vol.
$5k Liq.
38
Ends in over 1 year
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$279k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

96%

Vote / Voter / Votes

$8k Vol.
$240 Liq.
Ends in 4 days