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Natural Disaster Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

AllCryptoMoviesGazaSpaceXScienceWeatherHurricanesClimateAirdropsMiddle EastIsraelTradeNasaNatural DisastersVolcanoesShippingCultureMaerskGlobal LogisticsRed SeaGlobal TradeMaritime TransportInternational TradeSpaceGlobal PoliticsEarthquakeRafahParlaysRecurringNatural DisasterHurricaneAstroidMegaETHPre MarketClimate & ScienceEarthquakes
N
Natural Disaster in 2026?

Weather·Parlays

Natural Disaster in 2026?

13%

Yes

$247k Vol.
$1k Liq.
17
Ends in 5 months
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Climate & Science·Recurring

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

8%

Yes

$207k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 months
M
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Weather·volcanoes

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

Yes

$147k Vol.
$7k Liq.
9
Ends in 6 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

Crypto·Airdrops

MegaETH airdrop by...?

15%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$298 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
H
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

Weather·climate

How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

95%

1

$15k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
H
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

Weather·climate

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 21 - September 27?

97%

≤6

$18k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
H
How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

Weather·climate

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by September 30?

100%

6.5+

$19k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
H
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

Weather·Recurring

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

53%

14–16

$1.5m Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

Weather·climate

Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

23%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$795 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
N
Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Weather·Parlays

Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition

Yes

$50k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
H
How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Weather·All

How many named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?

19+

$129k Vol.
$14 Liq.
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

Culture·Movies

'Twisters' Opening Weekend Box Office

>$61m

$75k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
M
Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

All · trade

Maersk resume shipping in Red Sea by...?

June 30

$11k Vol.
$0 Liq.
27
Ended
M
Megaquake in September?

Weather·Science

Megaquake in September?

No

$90k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
M
Megaquake in August?

Science

Megaquake in August?

No

$82k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
M
Megaquake in February?

Weather·Science

Megaquake in February?

No

$180k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended
M
Megaquake by August 31?

Weather·earthquake

Megaquake by August 31?

No

$110k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
M
Megaquake by September 30?

Weather·earthquake

Megaquake by September 30?

No

$87k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

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