Moonshot Predictions & Odds· 225 markets

K
Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

72%

June 30, 2027

$7k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

92%

Alibaba

$546k Vol.
$106k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

89%

Anthropic

$352k Vol.
$686k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI model end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$3.6m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

72%

Anthropic

$1.3m Vol.
$986k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

50%

Other

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
W
Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

67%

OpenAI

$159k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

88%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
B
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

65%

Alibaba

$102k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

84%

Anthropic

$31k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

58%

Anthropic

$81k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

64%

Z.ai

$128k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

85%

45%+

$63k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

73%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

85%

OpenAI

$40k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month