Mohammed Bin Salman Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$32k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.9m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$67k today
212
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

82%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$1.0m Vol.
$207k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

79%

Vladimir Putin

$1.2m Vol.
$235k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in September?

Who will Trump meet with in September?

87%

Elon Musk

$171k Vol.
$145k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

93%

Ahmed al-Sharaa

$174k Vol.
$130k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

97%

Jon Ossoff

$153k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

14%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ended
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

10%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

82%

October 31

$1.4m Vol.
$148k Liq.
🔥$84k today
87
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

99%

<5

$16k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
K
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

99%

<5

$7k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

11%

Bahrain

$63k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

53%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1.0m Vol.
$258k Liq.
🔥$61k today
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

67%

China

$1.4m Vol.
$599k Liq.
🔥$97k today
Ends in 3 months