Mohammed Bin Salman Predictions & Odds· 114 markets

M
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

25%

September 30

$1.8m Vol.
$30k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

14%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.8m Vol.
$2.1m Liq.
🔥$337k today
210
Ends in 6 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

82%

Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani

$990k Vol.
$229k Liq.
🔥$75k today
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

72%

Vladimir Putin

$1.1m Vol.
$217k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump meet with in September?

Who will Trump meet with in September?

100%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$168k Vol.
$167k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$172k Vol.
$134k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

91%

Mark Carney

$150k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

13%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ended
H
Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

10%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

5%

Yes

$308k Vol.
$19k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months
U
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

4%

Yes

$114k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
S
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by...?

77%

October 31

$1.3m Vol.
$132k Liq.
🔥$116k today
77
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will any country join the Mecca Agreement by...?

25%

December 31

$64k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ended
S
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

10%

December 31

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

16%

Egypt

$62k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

51%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$18k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
K
Khamenei # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

96%

<5

$1k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

$1000k Vol.
$268k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

66%

China

$1.4m Vol.
$598k Liq.
🔥$138k today
Ends in 3 months
H
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

56%

September 28

$113k Vol.
$734 Liq.
Ends in 7 days