Merz Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

21%

December 31, 2026

$2.2m Vol.
$200k Liq.
🔥$378k today
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$654k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Xi Jinping

$159k Vol.
$132k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

84%

Mark Carney

$139k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

92%

Delcy Rodríguez

$1.1m Vol.
$222k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

57%

Friedrich Merz

$545k Vol.
$38k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$309 Liq.
Ended
N
Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

50%

Person A

$29k Vol.
$179k Liq.
3
Ends in over 1 year
S
Saint Tropez: Moez Echargui vs Karl Poling

Tennis · Sports

Saint Tropez: Moez Echargui vs Karl Poling

70%

Moez Echargui

$896 Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eleonora Alvisi vs Valentina Merku

Tennis · Sports

W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Eleonora Alvisi vs Valentina Merku

50%

Eleonora Alvisi

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Merkl Roman vs. Hala Pavel

Sports · Games

Merkl Roman vs. Hala Pavel

50%

Merkl Roman

$0 Vol.
$27 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Merkl Roman vs. Horak Ondrej

Sports · Games

Merkl Roman vs. Horak Ondrej

50%

Merkl Roman

$0 Vol.
$3 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
A
Ankara (Doubles): Dilek/Mert vs Haverlag/Kubka

Tennis · Sports

Ankara (Doubles): Dilek/Mert vs Haverlag/Kubka

50%

Dilek/Mert

$0 Vol.
$385 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
S
St. Tropez (Doubles): Behar/Paris vs Kouzmine/Masur

Tennis · Sports

St. Tropez (Doubles): Behar/Paris vs Kouzmine/Masur

69%

Behar/Paris

$0 Vol.
$509 Liq.
Ends in 8 days
I
Imparatel Alexandru vs. Barancean Sergiu

Sports · Games

Imparatel Alexandru vs. Barancean Sergiu

50%

Imparatel Alexandru

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
A
Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikova

Tennis · Sports

Ankara: Aysegul Mert vs Isabella Shinikova

45%

Aysegul Mert

$3k Vol.
$90k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: Antonin Witz vs Tyler Bowers

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: Antonin Witz vs Tyler Bowers

50%

Antonin Witz

$0 Vol.
$265 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Forbach: Gray Voelzke vs Lars Wagenaar

Tennis · Sports

M15 Forbach: Gray Voelzke vs Lars Wagenaar

38%

Gray Voelzke

$40 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
M15 Columbia, SC: William Mirarchi vs Max Stenzer

Tennis · Sports

M15 Columbia, SC: William Mirarchi vs Max Stenzer

51%

William Mirarchi

$0 Vol.
$250 Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
W50 Berkeley, CA: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma

Tennis · Sports

W50 Berkeley, CA: Merna Refaat vs Connie Ma

50%

Merna Refaat

$0 Vol.
$84 Liq.
Ends in 7 days