Merger Predictions & Odds· 137 markets

T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

67%

December 31, 2027

$1.2m Vol.
$45k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year
T
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by July 31?

48%

Yes

$732 Vol.
$43 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

13%

Yes

$467 Vol.
$164 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
T-Mobile US & SpaceX merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

6%

Yes

$141 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
M
MPS x Intesa Sanpaolo merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

66%

Yes

$65 Vol.
$190 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
F
Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by...?

Sports · Esports

Fnatic merger/acquisition announced by...?

51%

December 31, 2026

$14k Vol.
$71 Liq.
Ended
W
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

27%

MGM Resorts

$18.3m Vol.
$81k Liq.
23
Ends in 3 months
W
Will McCormick merge with Unilever Foods by...?

80%

December 31, 2027

$636 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
I
Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

61%

Yashar

$314k Vol.
$150k Liq.
13
Ends in about 1 month
O
OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%

OpenAI + Anthropic

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

Will Coingecko be acquired in 2026?

14%

Yes

$31k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$336 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
A
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

47%

Anthropic + OpenAI

$8k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

87%

Anthropic

$82k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

16%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$905k Vol.
$285k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

91%

↑$12.5B

$66k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

16%

OpenAI

$9k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
A
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

52%

Anduril

$9k Vol.
$311 Liq.
Ends in 4 months
L
Largest private company end of September?

99%

Anthropic

$9k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

98%

Trump

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 8 days