Mercury Prize Predictions & Odds· 106 markets

D
Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

Sports · Games

Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury

68%

Dallas Wings

$55k Vol.
$466k Liq.
🔥$54k today
Ends in about 3 hours
L
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

Sports · Games

Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercury

74%

Las Vegas Aces

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
W
WNBA: 2026 Champion

WNBA · Basketball

WNBA: 2026 Champion

48%

Minnesota Lynx

$1.1m Vol.
$195k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
A
Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

69%

December 31, 2027

$65k Vol.
$24k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
W
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

22%

December 31, 2028

$391k Vol.
$81k Liq.
13
Ends in over 2 years
O
OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

79%

December 31, 2027

$256k Vol.
$27k Liq.
4
Ends in over 1 year
H
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

49%

0

$135k Vol.
$87k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

74%

OpenAI

$3k Vol.
$600 Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$301k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

8%

Yes

$33k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$72 Vol.
$442 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
O
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%

Yes

$122 Vol.
$748 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

50%

Artist A

$16k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 6 months
N
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

13%

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$24.4m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$83k today
209
Ends in 18 days
C
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

Esports · counter strike 2

Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Orgless (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #2 Playoffs

50%

MARKandLARRY

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in about 16 hours
F
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

16%

December 31, 2026

$15k Vol.
$2k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
G
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

64%

Ella Langley

$20k Vol.
$40k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months
W
Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

61%

Hodge Conjecture

$179k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
2
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

Chess · FIDE

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

72%

Javokhir Sindarov

$83k Vol.
$678k Liq.
14
Ends in 3 months
G
Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

Grammys 2027: Album of the Year Winner

50%

Placeholder a - TBD Artist

$59k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 5 months