Medal Count Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

A
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

4%

Yes

$28k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?

86%

Yes

$56k Vol.
$30k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
B
Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

51%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 4 months
W
White House # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

41%

180-199

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

$6k Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

$1k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Will the US break its record for billion-dollar weather and climate disasters in 2026?

22%

Yes

$43 Vol.
$296 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (September 21 - September 27)

99%

Trump

$5k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
B
Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

85%

Yes

$70k Vol.
$13k Liq.
11
Ends in 4 months
V
Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by ___?

12%

December 31, 2026

$65k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Saint Petersburg?

60%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$9k Vol.
$56k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
B
Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: Linke # of seats?

50%

35-39

$55k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
B
Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: CDU # of seats?

37%

40-44

$67k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

79%

20-39

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
R
Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

Russia Election: 2nd Place Party List in Moscow?

73%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$10k Vol.
$87k Liq.
3
Ends in about 13 hours
W
Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

90%

Democratic Party

$2k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
B
Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

Berlin State Elections: AfD # of seats?

42%

35+

$68k Vol.
$99k Liq.
Ends in about 13 hours
N
NYC Mayor # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

94%

20-39

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 days
W
Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

50%

Person A

$8k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month