Macron Predictions & Odds· 113 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

$392k Vol.
$617k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

78%

Mark Carney

$138k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

97%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$154k Vol.
$109k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

45%

Ursula von der Leyen

$545k Vol.
$38k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

78%

Zohran Mamdani

$51k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

47%

Zohran Mamdani

$71k Vol.
$361 Liq.
Ended
L
Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

23%

December 31, 2026

$355k Vol.
$21k Liq.
112
Ends in 3 months
L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
N
Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

37%

Marine Le Pen

$136.3m Vol.
$16.1m Liq.
🔥$95k today
768
Ends in 7 months
N
Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

89%

Marine Le Pen

$188k Vol.
$557k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
L
Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

Le Pen names non-Bardella PM by...?

12%

April 17, 2027

$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months
N
National Rally Group Seat Count after French Senate Election?

29%

12

$8k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
I
ITF Brussels: Emilien Demanet vs Harold Huens

Tennis · Sports

ITF Brussels: Emilien Demanet vs Harold Huens

Harold Huens

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
2
2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe

70%

Édouard Philippe

$6k Vol.
$47k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
F
French Senate Election: Most Seats?

French Senate Election: Most Seats?

98%

Les Républicains

$3k Vol.
$29k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
F
French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?

72%

SER

$13k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 21 days
F
French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

70%

Dominique de Villepin

$98k Vol.
$114k Liq.
22
Ends in 7 months
N
National Rally forms a French Senate Group in 2026?

86%

Yes

$4k Vol.
$9k Liq.
7
Ends in 3 months