Macro Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 203 markets

M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

0%

Marco Dessi

$18k Vol.
$141k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

5%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$109 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.2m Vol.
$59.7m Liq.
🔥$869k today
1,034
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.8m Vol.
$52.2m Liq.
🔥$229k today
441
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.4m Vol.
$2.2m Liq.
🔥$177k today
450
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

39%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$533k Vol.
$694k Liq.
🔥$140k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

48%

Jared Kushner

$878k Vol.
$308k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Zohran Mamdani

$64k Vol.
$566k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$875k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

99%

Xi Jinping

$166k Vol.
$118k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

75%

Mark Carney

$147k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

76%

Nene Royal

$42k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$73k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$71k Vol.
$311k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Pará Governor Election Winner

Pará Governor Election Winner

64%

Hana Ghassan

$52k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

50%

Candidate B

$54k Vol.
$126k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

96%

Andy Beshear

$85k Vol.
$411k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

65%

Lionel Messi

$951k Vol.
$51k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

87%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$52k Vol.
$999 Liq.
Ends in 8 days