Macro Geopolitics Predictions & Odds· 204 markets

M
Macron out by...?

Macron out by...?

4%

Yes

$2.2m Vol.
$24k Liq.
92
Ends in 3 months
M
M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

Tennis · Sports

M25 Santa Margherita di Pula: Marco Dessi vs Laurent Lokoli

4%

Marco Dessi

$69 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?

5%

Yes

$108 Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

21%

JD Vance

$708.2m Vol.
$59.5m Liq.
🔥$837k today
1,034
Ends in over 2 years
R
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

51%

J.D. Vance

$706.8m Vol.
$51.9m Liq.
🔥$226k today
440
Ends in about 2 years
V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

54%

Nicolás Maduro

$97.4m Vol.
$2.0m Liq.
🔥$179k today
451
Ends in 3 months
N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

38%

Netanyahu - Israel PM

$532k Vol.
$605k Liq.
🔥$140k today
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

38%

Jared Kushner

$870k Vol.
$316k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
T
TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

27%

Mark Carney

$64k Vol.
$547k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

76%

Mark Carney

$147k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

13%

Gavin Newsom

$1.1m Vol.
$857k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
A
America's Got Talent S21: Winner

America's Got Talent S21: Winner

77%

Nene Royal

$42k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump speak to in September?

Who will Trump speak to in September?

100%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$161k Vol.
$131k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

61%

None before 2027

$71k Vol.
$311k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

41%

Gonzalo

$41k Vol.
$11k Liq.
1
Ends in 2 months
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

30%

Dan Scavino

$1.4m Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

95%

Andy Beshear

$85k Vol.
$410k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

86%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

$52k Vol.
$887 Liq.
Ends in 9 days
M
MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Sports · Goals

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

65%

Lionel Messi

$951k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

56%

Friedrich Merz

$546k Vol.
$29k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months