Lebanon Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

94%

September 23

$545k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

2%

Yes

$14k Vol.
$17k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 days
I
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

5%

December 31

$8.5m Vol.
$98k Liq.
219
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

80%

October 31

$109 Vol.
$452 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

8%

Yes

$239k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
N
Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

21%

Yes

$1k Vol.
$454 Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
J
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

7%

Yes

$32k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
L
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

1%

Amal Movement (Amal)

$677k Vol.
$270k Liq.
14
Ends in about 1 month
W
What will Netanyahu say during the United Nations General Assembly?

95%

Nuclear

$20k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

14%

Venezuela

$807k Vol.
$435k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

23%

Japan

$662k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

16%

Egypt

$62k Vol.
$150k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

9%

Kuwait

$1.7m Vol.
$146k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

2%

Yes

$139k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
U
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

7%

Yes

$119k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
I
Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

17%

October 31

$382k Vol.
$45k Liq.
10
Ends in about 1 month
I
Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%

December 31

$458k Vol.
$25k Liq.
24
Ends in 7 days
I
Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

2%

Yes

$103k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
I
Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

10%

Yes

$170k Vol.
$103 Liq.
3
Ends in 7 days
W
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

12%

Yes

$54k Vol.
$9k Liq.
10
Ends in 3 months