Labor Market Predictions & Odds· 115 markets

W
What will Costco say during their next earnings call?

99%

Quarter 15+ times

$6k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
M
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

91%

Morena

$105k Vol.
$210k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

78%

PAN

$85k Vol.
$126k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

64%

One Nation

$22k Vol.
$55k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election Winner

72%

Liberal–National

$15k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
V
Victoria Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

51%

Labor

$4k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
J
JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

JOLTS Job Openings: August 2026

29%

7.1M to 7.2M

$11k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 6 days
S
September Unemployment Rate

September Unemployment Rate

41%

4.1%

$20k Vol.
$27k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
W
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

9%

Yes

$10k Vol.
$445 Liq.
2
Ends in 5 months
H
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5%

5.0%

$517k Vol.
$16k Liq.
21
Ends in 6 months
P
PPI YoY - September 2026

PPI YoY - September 2026

43%

5.9%+

$12k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 23 days
U
US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

68%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$96k Vol.
$5k Liq.
7
Ends in 4 months
H
How many jobs added in September?

How many jobs added in September?

32%

100k to 150k

$11k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

91%

Up

$26k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
M
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

14%

Yes

$2.6m Vol.
$309 Liq.
135
Ends in 3 months
S
September Inflation US - Monthly

September Inflation US - Monthly

38%

0.5%

$32k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
C
Core PCE MoM - August 2026

Core PCE MoM - August 2026

70%

0.3%

$18k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
S
September Inflation US - Annual

September Inflation US - Annual

46%

3.6%

$71k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 22 days
W
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

18%

Iran Reconstruction Funding

$985k Vol.
$272k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
C
Core CPI YoY - September 2026

Core CPI YoY - September 2026

45%

2.4%

$24k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 22 days