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Lab Predictions & Odds· 177 markets

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A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

Tech·AI

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

87%

December 31, 2027

$293k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

88%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Tech·AI

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$23k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$8k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

61%

Anthropic

$81k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

82%

OpenAI

$39k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$6k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

65%

Alibaba

$46k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
S
Second-best AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of September?

87%

Google

$106k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
S
Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Tech·AI

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

59%

Google

$21k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Tech·AI

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

81%

Google

$113k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

91%

Meta

$93k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Tech·AI

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

62%

Z.ai

$67k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

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