Lab Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

A
Anthropic lab leak by...?

Anthropic lab leak by...?

11%

June 30, 2027

$22k Vol.
$91k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
A
AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

84%

December 31, 2027

$286k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
S
Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

86%

Moonshot

$54k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

52%

Anthropic

$5k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

52%

OpenAI

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

88%

OpenAI

$39k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
T
Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$3k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
T
Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of September?

64%

Alibaba

$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
T
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

50%

Other

$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
#
#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

90%

Meta

$85k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
#
#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

50%

Company A

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

50%

Other

$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
S
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

50%

Other

$58k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
#
#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

82%

Google

$112k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in 11 days
S
Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

61%

Anthropic

$25k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month