Kevin Warsh Predictions & Odds· 181 markets

T
Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

Trump publicly insults Warsh by...?

22%

December 31

$5k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

93%

Mark Carney

$151k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly praise in September?

67%

Bryson DeChambeau

$55k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 days
W
Who will Trump publicly insult by August 31?

14%

Yes

$72k Vol.
$150 Liq.
Ended
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

1%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$48k Vol.
$69k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during September Press Conference?

Good Day

$143k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

Bank / Asset 10+ times

$134k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?

Inflation 20+ times

$311k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

Rate / Cut

$178k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during his Swearing-In?

America / American 2+ times

$14k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will Kevin Warsh say during Senate Nomination Hearing?

Inflation 10+ times

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
K
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

No

$637k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
K
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

No

$306k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

US x Iran Ceasefire

$736k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
K
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

June 30

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$617.3m Vol.
$5k Liq.
2,000
Ends in 3 months