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Chair Of The Federal Reserve Predictions & Odds· 111 markets

AllPoliticsTrumpFederal ReserveFedUnited StatesNominationU.S. PoliticsCongressMAGAFed RatesSenateEconomyDerivativesFOMCTrump PresidencyParlaysJpowJerome PowellTrump 100 DaysRecurringEconomic PolicyGlobal RatesFed ChairWarshKevin WarshJudy SheltonCPI Release
W
Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

Economy·Fed

Warsh out as Fed Chair by…?

10%

June 30, 2027

$49k Vol.
$72k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
J
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Politics·Fed Chair

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

14%

Yes

$448k Vol.
$3k Liq.
21
Ends in 3 months
T
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

Economy·Fed

Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?

2%

Yes

$30k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
P
Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Parlays · Hide From New

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

98%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$161k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Politics·Fed Chair

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

11%

December 31

$32k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
J
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

Politics·Jerome Powell

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

53%

>5%

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ended
F
Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Economy·Fed

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

42%

Hike–Pause–Hike

$170k Vol.
$67k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?

50%

0

$19k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 4 months
H
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?

40%

0

$21k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
H
How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

Fed · jpow

How many dissent at the October Fed meeting?

43%

0

$8k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 29 days
W
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Politics·Fed Rates

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

46%

4.25%

$6.9m Vol.
$155k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
K
Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

Politics·Fed

Kevin Warsh formally nominated as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

$1.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
W
Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Politics·Fed

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Thom Tillis

$149k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

Politics·Fed

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

January 30

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
39
Ended
T
Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Politics·Fed

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

January 31, 2026

$1.3m Vol.
$0 Liq.
35
Ended
W
Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump fire in first 100 days?

Elise Stefanik (UN Ambassador)

$3.2m Vol.
$6k Liq.
19
Ended
K
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

Politics·Trump

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by...?

June 30

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended
W
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Politics·Fed

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

$64.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
101
Ends in about 1 month
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?

Economy·Trump Presidency

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?

No

$2.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
422
Ended
J
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

Politics·Fed Rates

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?

No

$11.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
420
Ended

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