Indicted Predictions & Odds· 100 markets
W
10%
Yes
$140k Vol.
$13k Liq.
30
Ends in 3 months
L
Leopold Aschenbrenner
Leopold Aschenbrenner charged by...?
28%
December 31, 2027
$10k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
M
75%
No prison time
$739k Vol.
$56k Liq.
26
Ends in over 1 year
C
New York · Manhattan
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
25%
Yes
$4k Vol.
$141 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
G
11%
Yes
$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
W
27%
Yes
$96k Vol.
$1k Liq.
8
Ends in 3 months
M
8%
Yes
$77k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
U
22%
Yes
$95k Vol.
$156 Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months