Impeach Predictions & Odds· 186 markets

W
Will Trump be impeached by...?

Will Trump be impeached by...?

66%

December 31, 2027

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A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

4%

Yes

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28
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W
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

69%

Yes

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P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

3%

Yes

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K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

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10
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L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

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L
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

6%

Yes

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N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

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I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

13%

December 31

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72
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W
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

42%

Yes

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18
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T
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

3%

Yes

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T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

91%

China

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

53%

Communist / Communism

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T
Trump out as President by September 30?

Trump out as President by September 30?

1%

Yes

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L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

12%

Yes

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U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

6%

Yes

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C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

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N
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

82%

Yes

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B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

60%

Democrats Sweep

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292
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