Impeach Predictions & Odds· 186 markets

W
Will Trump be impeached by...?

Will Trump be impeached by...?

63%

December 31, 2027

$1.0m Vol.
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A
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

4%

Yes

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28
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W
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

69%

Yes

$103k Vol.
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P
Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

Politics

Pete Hegseth impeached by...?

4%

Yes

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K
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

Yes

$23k Vol.
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10
Ends in 3 months
L
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

3%

Yes

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L
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?

6%

Yes

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N
Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

34%

None before 2027

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Ends in 3 months
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

13%

December 31

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72
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W
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?

38%

Yes

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18
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T
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?

3%

Yes

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T
Trump out as President before 2027?

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%

Yes

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 21 - September 27)

97%

China

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W
What will Trump post this week? (September 14 - September 20)

97%

Allah

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L
Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

12%

Yes

$436 Vol.
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Ends in about 1 month
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

25%

80-99

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Ends in 10 days
U
Ukraine coup attempt by...?

Ukraine coup attempt by...?

7%

Yes

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Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 15 - September 22, 2026?

46%

80-99

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C
Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

4%

Yes

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Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

44%

100-119

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