Human Implant Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

L
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?

11%

Yes

$3k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
W
Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

28%

Google

$78k Vol.
$6k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
W
Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

18%

OpenAI

$10k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
C
Colorado passes ballot measure imposing life sentences on underage sex traffickers?

73%

Yes

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in 6 months
O
OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

60%

OpenAI

$495 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year
A
Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

25%

October 31

$5k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
U
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

10%

Yes

$37k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?

49%

80-99

$4k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 25 - October 2, 2026?

47%

80-99

$365 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
Z
Zelenskyy # posts September 18 - September 25, 2026?

63%

80-99

$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
W
Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

14%

Meta

$2k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
What price will Cap hit in 2026?

What price will Cap hit in 2026?

47%

↓ $0.03

$17k Vol.
$549 Liq.
Ends in 3 months
W
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

6%

Yes

$84k Vol.
$21k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
W
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023?

No

$365 Vol.
$5 Liq.
Ended
V
Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?

covid · Pandemics

Vaccine for new COVID disease in 2025?

No

$10k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
H
Human case of new COVID disease before April?

covid · Pandemics

Human case of new COVID disease before April?

No

$48k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?
$331k Vol.
$0 Liq.
106
Ended
F
FDA approves MannKind's FUROSCIX ReadyFlow Autoinjector?

Yes

$778 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended