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Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 120 markets

AllPoliticsGazaIranKristi NoemTrumpMiddle EastBidenIsraelU.S. PoliticsOilCongressNuclearGlobal PoliticsRafahSenateGeopoliticsVanceMentionsTrump PresidencyTrump CabinetFBIPete HegsethGov ShutdownRFK Jr.Tulsi GabbardKash PatelWorldGreta ThunbergICEGaza FloatillaMinnesota UnrestHomeland SecurityDHSFunding BillShut DownDepartment Of Homeland SecurityNoemMilitary StrikesIran CeasefireU.S. X IranIsrael X IranSecretary Of Homeland SecurityRewards 200, 4.5, 20 DeprecMullin
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Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

Geopolitics·Trump

Kristi Noem out as Secretary of Homeland Security by…?

December 12

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 9

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

John Fetterman

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Politics·Trump Cabinet

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

Pete Hegseth

$23.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,045
Ended
M
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

Politics·Homeland Security

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

March 31

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

5+ days

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

April 27-May 3

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

When will the DHS shutdown end?

April 29-30

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·Homeland Security

When will the DHS shutdown end?

After March 31

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
'
'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

All

'The Ministry of Ungentlemanly Warfare' over $8m opening weekend?

Yes

$62k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Politics·Iran

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

Nuclear

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
391
W
Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

Politics·Middle East

Will Greta Thunberg enter Gaza by...?

September 10

$152k Vol.
$0 Liq.
20
Ended
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

April 30

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
U
U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?

Middle East · Gaza

U.S. military action against Iran by April 15?

No

$277k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Doug Burgum

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
What will Biden say during Immunity Speech today?

Mentions·Biden

What will Biden say during Immunity Speech today?

Democracy

$5k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
I
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

Politics·Trump

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

No

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
I
Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Gaza · Israel

Israel ground offensive in Rafah when?

Not by April 19

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

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