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Department Of Homeland Security Predictions & Odds· 107 markets

AllPoliticsIranKristi NoemTrumpDojCongressMaineMinnesotaOklahomaCourtsSenateGeopoliticsVanceTrump PresidencyTrump CabinetGov ShutdownImmigration/BorderTom HomanWorldICEMinneapolisMinnesota UnrestHomeland SecurityDHSFunding BillShut DownDepartment Of Homeland SecurityNoemIran CeasefireU.S. X IranSecretary Of Homeland SecurityMarkwayne MullinRewards 200, 4.5, 20 DeprecMullinFundWeaponization
W
When will DHS receive full-year funding?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

When will DHS receive full-year funding?

February 9

$295k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
W
Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

Who will vote "Yea" on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 by March 31?

John Fetterman

$111k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Homeland Security Secretary?

Other

$97k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
M
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

Politics·Homeland Security

Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS Secretary by...?

March 31

$26k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

April 27-May 3

$51k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

When will the DHS shutdown end?

April 29-30

$1.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
When will the DHS shutdown end?

Politics·Homeland Security

When will the DHS shutdown end?

After March 31

$1.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
H
How long will the DHS shutdown last?

Politics·Gov Shutdown

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

5+ days

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
K
Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Kristi Noem out by March 31?

Yes

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
24
Ended
W
Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Politics·Trump

Who will replace Mullin as Oklahoma Senator?

Other

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ends in about 1 month
W
Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Will an FBI agent be charged for involvement in Jan 6?

No

$520k Vol.
$0 Liq.
17
Ended
S
Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

Politics·Trump

Somalians who defrauded government to fund terrorists deported?

No

$45k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
I
ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

Politics·Trump

ICE forced to unmask by February 28?

No

$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
I
ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?

Politics·DHS

ICE Agent charged in Maine incident by August 31?

No

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

April 30

$137k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Interior Secretary?

Doug Burgum

$49k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
W
Will an FBI agent be charged for leaking ICE plans?

Politics·Immigration/Border

Will an FBI agent be charged for leaking ICE plans?

No

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended
T
Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

Politics·Trump

Trump pays Jan 6 rioter?

No

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
W
Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Politics·Trump Presidency

Who will Trump pick for Defense Secretary?

Other

$353k Vol.
$2 Liq.
27
Ended
M
Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Politics·Trump

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

No

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

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